Note: parts of this article appeared as a blog on DSCC’s site on Thursday, but after news broke Friday that Foxconn has decided to go forward with Gen 6, I made some edits and added the update at the end.
According to a flurry of news reports this week, Foxconn will not be building LCD panels at its complex in Wisconsin. While the company reiterated its plan to employ 13,000 workers in that state, statements by the company leave many open questions about what shape the investment will take.
DSCC has been publishing OLED and mobile LCD fab capacity, input and utilization as part of its Quarterly OLED Shipment and Fab Utilization Report for over a year. The utilization data is extremely useful for anyone assessing the health of these companies, their suppliers, the capex outlook and the mobile and OLED TV markets in general. The Quarterly OLED Shipment and Fab Utilization Report has been one of our most popular reports due to all the OLED shipment/forecast data as well as the utilization data, however, for companies just interested in the fab utilization data, it can be expensive at $7995-$8995. Thus, we are now making the fab utilization data available at a lower cost of $3495 - $3995 depending on company size. Called the Quarterly OLED and Mobile LCD and Fab Utilization Tracker, it delivers sortable fab utilization data revealing the following information by company by fab:
DSCC has released its Q4 2018 update of our Advanced TV Display Cost Report, with updates to all of the OLED and LCD cost outlines plus the first cost model for Samsung Display’s quantum dot OLED (QD OLED) product, as well as analysis detailing the cost advantages LG Display will realize in implementing Multi-Mode Mother Glass (MMG) technology.
DSCC’s Latest Smartphone Display Cost Report Adds Foldable, New Models and Quantifies Significant BOE Yield Improvements
The Q4’18 update of DSCC’s Quarterly Smartphone Display Cost Report adds the panels used in the upcoming Samsung Galaxy S10 models and the Galaxy Foldable smartphone. Foldable smartphones have the potential to dramatically change the smartphone landscape and it is critical to understand their costs and cost reduction potential to estimate their impact on smartphone prices and likelihood of success.
Revenues from the sales of OLED display panels will increase 19% in 2019 to $31 billion, according to the latest update of DSCC’s Quarterly OLED Shipment and Fab Utilization Report. OLED panel units in all applications will grow 22% to 610 million, and shipment area will grow 35% to exceed 9 million square meters.
DSCC released its latest Quarterly Display Capex and Equipment Service suite of products which includes:
Reflective LCDs have been around for a long time but have never made much of an impact on the display industry. FLEx Lighting, a US- based startup, is looking to change that with some fascinating technology that greatly improves the performance of reflective LCDs, and just might make this display technology a big part of the industry landscape in a few years.
We now have all the financial results of panel makers for Q3 2018, and we have compiled a comparison view as part of DSCC’s Quarterly Display Supply Chain Financial Health Report. The comparison highlights big discrepancies in results between some of the major players in the industry. While Q3 was in general a positive quarter for display makers, it was especially good for Samsung, and not so good for some of the smaller players.
DSCC has updated its LTPS LCD and OLED fab utilization results through November with a 1-month forecast for December. This data is compiled based on surveys of glass and materials suppliers and appears in our Quarterly OLED Shipment and Fab Utilization Report. The results are quite interesting.
The third quarter of 2018 saw a strong recovery of OLED panel shipments, with total revenue up 80% Q/Q and 45% Y/Y to $8.0 billion, according to the latest update of DSCC’s Quarterly OLED Shipment and Fab Utilization Report. The revenue increase was paced by an even more impressive 92% increase Q/Q in OLED smartphone panel revenue, which grew 43% Y/Y to $6.9 billion, as shown in the chart below.
After years of development dating back to 2012 when Samsung trademarked YOUM for its unbreakable, flexible display, Samsung finally announced its first foldable display which it trademarked on October 29 as the Infinity Flex Display at its Developer Conference on November 7th in San Francisco, CA. It did not formally announce the name, timing or price of its foldable smartphone however, which many people believe will be called the Galaxy F for foldable.
DSCC has agreed to a partnership deal with UK-based display research firm Meko, whereby DSCC will transition its weekly Display Supply Chain Monitor (DSCM) into a new publication, to be called the DSCC Weekly Review. The Weekly Review will form a successor publication to Meko’s Large Display Monitor (LDM) and Mobile Display Monitor (MDM) weekly newsletters, and we expect that the Weekly Review will come to be seen as the premier source of news and analysis in the display industry.
LG Display has had remarkable success in its OLED TV panel business for years, in all areas except one – profits. Based on new analysis in DSCC’s Quarterly Advanced TV Display Cost Report, the combination of higher prices and lower components costs have allowed LGD to turn the corner on this business and become profitable in Q3 2018, and LGD likely has a strong runway of profits in the coming quarters and years.
On November 6th, DSCC will bring 3 of the most influential speakers on the future of quantum dot technology and its market outlook at the upcoming Future of Display Technologies and Markets Conference. Quantum dots have the opportunity to become a significant part of the LCD, OLED and microLED markets as those technologies strive for improved color performance. In addition, as quantum dot material performance improves, it has the potential to become its own emissive display technology.
The agenda for our Future of Display Technologies & Markets Conference on November 6th in Santa Clara is now final as seen below. The first talk will be by Ross Young and will detail DSCC's latest forecasts for OLED shipments, revenues, prices, supply/demand, fab utilization, LCD and OLED equipment spending, etc. as well as our view on technology roadmaps and inflection points.
The next session will feature a display technology roadmap shootout between Quantum Dots, LCDs, OLEDs, MicroLEDs and Light Field Displays.
Sales for OLED stack materials are expected to grow at a 20% annual CAGR from $829 million in 2017 to $2.04 billion in 2022, according to DSCC’s Quarterly OLED Material Report for Q3 2018, written in cooperation with the OLED Association. The report details all aspects of OLED materials, including multiple applications, supplier matrices, and cost comparisons.
In today's issue of our weekly report, the Display Supply Chain Monitor, we updated Samsung's OLED fab utilization at its A2 and A3 fabs for August actuals and the September forecast. There were some surprises vs. prior forecasts. Please contact email@example.com if you would like to see the Samsung results in our weekly report or gain access to all manufacturers' LTPS LCD and OLED fab utilization in our Quarterly OLED Shipment and Fab Utilization Report.
Unless you’ve been under a rock for the last week, you’ve heard about Apple’s new iPhone line-up, announced in an enthusiastic product launch this week. The Apple events these days seem to rival the “Everything is Awesome” scene in the Lego movie for over-the-top fandom, with an abundance of “amazing” and “incredible” features listed. The main iPhone products were just as expected, but the prices will push the limit of what consumers are willing to pay, especially considering the price premium for the models with OLED displays.
In cooperation with the Korean chapter of SID, DSCC organized a one-day Display Industry Forum at the 18th International Meeting on Information Display (IMID) conference last week in Busan, Korea. The conference brought many of the key players in the Korean part of the display industry and provided insights for industry professionals.
Imports to the US of TVs from China increased in Q2 of this year despite the Trump administration’s threat of tariffs imposed on TV products. The industry has shown few signs of shifting its supply patterns, based on data from the US International Trade Commission (ITC) database. The tariff threats, though, seem to have claimed their first victim in US TV assembler Element Electronics, as the US-China trade war shows no signs of abating.
The ITC releases data monthly but with a time lag, roughly 5-6 weeks after the end of the month, so June (and therefore full Q2) data was recently made available. The data suggests that TV brands and retailers have done little to change their pattern of increasing reliance on China for TV sourcing.
If TVs get hit with a 10% tariff as part of the Trump administration’s next round of $200 billion of product affected, what would be the likely impact? Because of the steep declines in LCD TV panel prices in the last twelve months, a 10% tariff would merely slow down the price declines for TVs in the 2018 holiday season. The figure below shows the pattern of TV panel prices since 2015; overall prices are down nearly 40% Y/Y in July 2018.
After the ceremonial groundbreaking at Foxconn’s “Wisconn Valley” complex in Mount Pleasant, Wisconsin (see my last blog post), President Trump visited a nearby Foxconn pilot TV production site where, with leaders from the Wisconsin political scene and from Foxconn, Trump celebrated the launch of the first LCD manufacturing site in the USA (and the first outside of Asia).
In a glitzy and gala ceremony today in Mount Pleasant, Wisconsin, Foxconn broke ground on the first large-scale TFT LCD fab outside of Asia, and the first in the USA, in a ceremony highlighted by the appearance of President Trump.
I wrote this piece originally for our weekly newsletter, the Display Supply Chain Monitor, right after the 2016 election. Originally published on November 14th, 2016, it holds up pretty well and is likely interesting to DSCC blog readers.
The astonishing and unexpected election of Donald Trump for President of the United States brings the issue of free trade and protectionism to the front of the national agenda. Since the Flat Panel Display industry consists of a global supply chain that depends on free trade, a shift towards protectionism may have a profound impact on the industry in the coming years.
The date for the Foxconn Groundbreaking Ceremony is again set for June 28th, and several changes in the schedule have occurred in order to accommodate the schedule of President Trump, according to this article from the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
Search Previous Blog Posts