With flexible OLEDs struggling in the market despite being named the best smartphone displays ever made, we are starting to see some fab delays which will be quantified in terms of equipment spending in our upcoming Quarterly Display Capex and Equipment Service update.
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DSCC released the forecast slides for the Q1’18 issue of its Quarterly OLED Shipment and Fab Utilization Report last week. Given the lower than expected iPhone X shipments, reduced fab utilization at Samsung and related fab delays, we have lowered our outlook for 2018 by 22% and now expect 30% growth to $30.3B as shown in Figure 1. From 2017 to 2022, we now expect 23% CAGR instead of 27% CAGR with the 2022 market reaching $64.3B instead of $79.6B. It is still a rapidly growing market as most consumers prefer OLEDs and OLED capacity is still growing rapidly. It is just growing slower than previously expected.
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