The Display Capacity Outlook Continues to Fall

Published June 26, 2023

After upgrading display capacity for six straight issues on improved market conditions in LCDs, we have now lowered display capacity for six consecutive quarters on delays and cancellations as conditions worsen and remain weak. Display prices are not expected to exceed cash costs until Q2’23. Our latest capacity forecast for 2027 is down 1% vs. our previous forecast and 2026 is down 12% from peak levels. The 2021-2027 display capacity CAGR was downgraded from 2.2% to 2.0% in our Quarterly Display Capex and Equipment Market Share Report. Both OLED and LCD capacity forecasts came down on fab cancellations and delays. We increased our LCD 2021-2027 CAGR from 1.5% to 1.6% on the Vedanta Indian fab, with OLEDs reduced from 9.2% to 6.3% on more G8.7 delays.

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Written by

Ross Young